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investment outlook

Economic market update: Inflation, debt, hawkish Fed

By Eric Kelley|2026-09-03T11:55:42-05:00September 3, 2026|

Each month, UMB Chief Investment Officer Eric Kelly and the UMB investment management team share economic insights and market impacts from the past several weeks.

Economic analysis of Q1: The war, oil and consequences for the markets

By Eric Kelley|2026-07-28T15:35:35-05:00April 24, 2026|

The first quarter of 2026 witnessed a truly amazing mix of geopolitical and market events in rapid succession. Read our current economic analysis.

2026 Economic outlook: The K factor

By Eric Kelley|2026-01-21T11:32:11-06:00January 20, 2026|

Economic growth was surprisingly robust last year. However, the Fed was facing some challenges. Read more about our 2026 economic outlook, The K factor.

Q3 2025 economic update: Another brick in the wall of worry

By Eric Kelley|2025-07-29T17:02:29-05:00July 18, 2025|

Read our latest economic check-in that covers factors from Q2 2025 and analyzes the unexpected events in the geopolitical arena and financial markets.

This time really is different: UMB’s 2025 economic outlook

By Eric Kelley and Dan Kieffer|2025-01-08T16:07:42-06:00January 8, 2025|

Here, we reflect on the robust return of the financial markets in the past year and share our 2025 economic outlook.

October economic update: More uncertainty, but better news

By Eric Kelley|2025-02-25T16:51:13-06:00October 24, 2024|

We had an amazing ride during the third quarter of 2024. The economy is more stable, but there are still concerns about the labor market.

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